Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.725799 11.893218 13.148150 14.599674 16.235084 18.023779 20.132467
2025-09-07 9.022093 10.655032 12.539539 14.884782 17.738426 21.114656 25.436246
2025-09-14 7.619331 9.473690 11.742467 14.744138 18.643167 23.580053 30.373633
2025-09-21 6.517160 8.458186 10.952184 14.427969 19.204208 25.620966 35.036909
2025-09-28 5.744122 7.735836 10.406065 14.301321 19.928348 27.901931 40.308885
2025-10-05 5.330247 7.426653 10.349768 14.799601 21.538177 31.585004 48.130198
2025-10-12 4.970700 7.139479 10.272097 15.228902 23.066710 35.316073 56.590985
2025-10-19 4.579544 6.755560 9.997933 15.307931 24.036185 38.272041 64.233599
2025-10-26 4.197395 6.340760 9.624549 15.171637 24.616460 40.635568 71.200342
2025-11-02 3.852479 5.946782 9.237828 14.957665 25.019176 42.718411 77.958867
2025-11-09 3.542649 5.577843 8.851466 14.692854 25.284914 44.566849 84.541047
2025-11-16 3.285378 5.270269 8.534221 14.506219 25.654725 46.631918 91.865856
2025-11-23 3.067836 5.015780 8.292012 14.442939 26.276171 49.322195 101.116663
2025-11-30 2.934253 4.892808 8.264967 14.768853 27.683641 53.772129 115.061501
2025-12-07 2.745285 4.656945 8.016445 14.651193 28.200167 56.475941 125.607676
2025-12-14 2.548907 4.391516 7.690411 14.347797 28.297137 58.298044 134.427226
2025-12-21 2.396735 4.193442 7.470150 14.227106 28.755672 60.968232 145.870934
2025-12-28 2.336077 4.158734 7.552762 14.725115 30.608105 67.076922 167.521231
2026-01-04 2.270368 4.108643 7.600209 15.153329 32.360244 73.230126 190.747120
2026-01-11 2.170059 3.984041 7.489973 15.232592 33.321079 77.607307 209.996858
2026-01-18 2.055051 3.822047 7.291198 15.097388 33.757375 80.729431 226.284865
2026-01-25 1.941435 3.654636 7.067933 14.884760 33.979070 83.328987 241.603983
2026-02-01 1.831807 3.487652 6.832628 14.621486 34.042742 85.518234 256.167208